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  1. #2411
    Senior Member
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    Apr 2021
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    664

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    Yes indeed

  2. #2412
    Senior Member
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    Apr 2021
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    That is it... august rebalancing...the button should be reached...

  3. #2413
    Member
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    Dec 2010
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    Palmerston North
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    96

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    Was that the parcel of nealry 6 million shares that went through at close?

  4. #2414
    Member
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    Mar 2023
    Location
    Feilding
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    249

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    Quote Originally Posted by thedrunkfish View Post
    Was that the parcel of nealry 6 million shares that went through at close?
    Yes and that is a lot - 6 million shares is about 0.3% of the total SPK shares on issue. Arvida traded 8 miilion shares today which is a bit over one percent of shares on issue.

    I doubled down on SPK today. I sold my remaining shares in Arv at $1.66 and my order on SPK went through at the close at $3.59. Lets see how it pans out.

  5. #2415
    Member
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    Nov 2015
    Location
    Geraldine
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    152

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    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    The answer to your question may be answered in bold below.

    Q/ Arie Dekker (Jarden): Capital management targets for FY2025 are below those of FY2024. How long are you willing to pay dividends outside of the 80 to 100% of free cashflow figures that you are targeting?

    A/ Stefan Knight (CFO): FY2035, free cashflow at $400-$440m, pays a good portion of the dividend and our intention is to grow free cashflow over time which is aligned with our capital management framework of EBITDA growth which is designed to fund the dividend over time.



    SNOOPY
    Thank you very much for your help Snoopy

  6. #2416
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    956

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    I've noticed that overseas investors often use Spark as proxy for the wider NZ market and economy so it tends to (over)react to interest rates and exchange rate movements.

    I think that and the end of month rebalancing presented us with a gift this week.

  7. #2417
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2021
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    664

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    Spoke to my banker... another OCR cut in 5weeks... possible 50points as a lot of small businesses are on stress...

    Term deposit will go down.... retailers will come back to SPK again

  8. #2418
    Guru
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    3,072

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaa View Post
    I've noticed that overseas investors often use Spark as proxy for the wider NZ market and economy so it tends to (over)react to interest rates and exchange rate movements.

    I think that and the end of month rebalancing presented us with a gift this week.
    Really???
    Dropped way below 20DMA & 90DMA on increased volume
    https://stocknessmonster.com/charts/spk.nzx/

    I've never known these together to be a good sign?
    Last edited by kiora; Yesterday at 09:17 PM.

  9. #2419
    On the doghouse
    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    , , New Zealand.
    Posts
    9,666

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    Quote Originally Posted by Panda-NZ- View Post
    Spark facing the same disease as Telstra? (ASX). Another NZ company stumbles.
    I am not sure what 'disease' you are talking about here. Profits were down at Telstra over FY2024 yes. But they were down for a good reasons, and underlying profit was up.
    https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/showth...=1#post1066803

    I hold some Telstra shares, not as a significant part of my portfolio. But more as a 'foil' for my Spark shares which are a core part of my portfolio. I need that 'alternative measuring stick' to keep my expectations real on a company (Spark) where I admire the management and their execution in a telecommunications market that is evolving so rapidly globally. And without 'skin in the game' .at Telstra,, I probably would not get around to reading what the equivalent player in a much bigger market was doing.

    So what are Telstra doing that is relevant to Spark shareholders comparing FY2024 results for both companies?

    1a/ Mobile revenue at Spark up 3.1%
    1b/ Mobile revenue at Telstra up 9.2%

    2a/ Capex to sales at Spark: 13,4% of revenue (long run 10%-12%)
    2b/ Capex to sales at Telstra: 16.3% of revenue

    3a/ Net Debt/ 'normalised EBITDA' at Spark -= 2.1x (target 1.7x)
    3b/ Net Debt/ 'normalised EBITDA' at Telstra -= 2.1x (target 1.5x to 2.0x)

    4a/ Gross cost reduction at Spark over the year > $60m
    4b/ Population adjusted core fixed costs reduced at Telstra over the year by $81m/5= $16m
    Last edited by Snoopy; Yesterday at 10:01 PM. Reason: Work In Progress
    Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7

  10. #2420
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    956

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    Really???
    Dropped way below 20DMA & 90DMA on increased volume
    https://stocknessmonster.com/charts/spk.nzx/

    I've never known these together to be a good sign?
    That chart looks more useful with the the 120DMA.

    Time will tell I guess, lets check back in 3 and 12 months?

    I am targeting a 50% return over 12 months or so. My thinking is Snoopy's 5yr average of 36 cents of pre tax dividends on a share price of $5 is a pre tax yield of 7.2%, which compares pretty well to a 12 month term deposit which are currently around 5.2% and dropping.

    $3.59 - 0.14 after tax dividend in 2 weeks = $3.45 effective purchase price
    $5.00 - 3.45 = $1.55
    $1.55 + 26c after tax dividends in Mar and Sep 25 = $1.81
    $1.81/ $3.45 = 52% return in a year.

    For reference, Spark was last at $5 in March, all of 5 months ago.

    For years now I have called Spark my term deposit as it is an oligopolist utility that is #1 in most of its markets with stable revenue and expenses. It is a defensive stock not a cyclical. I am stunned someone just offered that term deposit at 0.36 / 3.45 = 10.4%
    Last edited by Jaa; Yesterday at 10:32 PM.

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