sharetrader
Page 395 of 395 FirstFirst ... 295345385391392393394395
Results 3,941 to 3,950 of 3950
  1. #3941
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jul 2002
    Location
    New Zealand.
    Posts
    4,644

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Yes ,a capacity problem.This is where Lake Onslows battery backup is required
    Yeh RIGHT, at a cost plus construction price of estimated $30,000,000,000 ( thats BILLION ) + + for this another pie in the sky marquee construction project that so far is unproven and will eventually double in price before being delivered as all N Z major construction projects do !!.

    I think that the major lesson that we have learnt from the last Labor govt is , KEEP THEM AWAY FROM ANY AND ALL GOVT CHEQUE BOOKS !!!!

  2. #3942
    IMO
    Join Date
    Aug 2010
    Location
    Floating Anchor Shoals
    Posts
    9,799

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Yes ,a capacity problem.This is where Lake Onslows battery backup is required
    Sub $16 Billion for a permanent reliable green energy back up.Beats winding up Tiwai or Methenex. Cancelling this project has similar aspects to cancelling the new Ferries .
    Last edited by Joshuatree; Today at 01:14 PM.

  3. #3943
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Posts
    504

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by xafalcon View Post
    Worth listening to get a better understanding of current dynamics

    https://youtu.be/Mh7mIQHbYfo?si=qZMxcUm6hq5GdGNP
    Thanks for sharing, that was interesting.

  4. #3944
    percy
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    christchurch
    Posts
    17,459

    Default

    Rolls Royce may have the answer.?
    https://www.rolls-royce.com/innovati...-reactors.aspx

  5. #3945
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    950

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Joshuatree View Post
    Sub $16 Billion for a permanent reliable green energy back up.Beats winding up Tiwai or Methenex. Cancelling this project has similar aspects to cancelling the new Ferries .
    Agree on both. Is NZ unable to think long term, invest and actually BUILD for the future?

    Or is investment in NZ now considered the $180m of bribes that Meridian and Contact paid just to renew the water rights for the Waitaki scheme?!?! Even that was only for 35 years!

  6. #3946
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Posts
    517

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by whatsup View Post
    Yeh RIGHT, at a cost plus construction price of estimated $30,000,000,000 ( thats BILLION ) + + for this another pie in the sky marquee construction project that so far is unproven and will eventually double in price before being delivered as all N Z major construction projects do !!.

    I think that the major lesson that we have learnt from the last Labor govt is , KEEP THEM AWAY FROM ANY AND ALL GOVT CHEQUE BOOKS !!!!
    Your cost figure is wrong. The final estimate was $16B

    The project was primarily for short term storage of intermittent generation (solar and wind). Because, as the current situation is aptly demonstrating, when the wind doesn't blow the electricity must be generated by alternative sources. And those alternatives are hydro, geothermal, thermal, combustion (diesel). Solar will be the same, the sun never shines at night, and in winter the weather is poor and even on a sunny winter day the solar irradiance is 1/2 of summer levels due to the angle of the earth. This short term storage (12 hours - 7 days) generates a return through arbitrage

    But Lake Onslow also allowed long term storage to cover dry years, like this one. 4TWh & 1000MW = enough to easily cover the 3 Huntly rankines and 1/4 of the CCGT.

    Cost is relative. $16B is a lot of money. But if the equivalent amount of battery storage was deployed, the cost would be $4T every 10 - 15 years ($30-40T over the lifespan of a pumped hydro system). So 1/2000 of the cost could be considered the bargain of the century, with energy security for decades

    The idiots who cancelled the project will be remembered poorly in history. Nothing more than political bloody mindedness - let's cancel everything the other team did. But it is cancelled and Simone Brown is far too conceited to acknowledge he ever makes a mistake, and JK Mk2 is too dumb to realise

    NZ is now stuck with aging coal generation assets, a gas shortage, and no plan on how to manage electricity demand growth of 4% compounding. Intermittent is only part of the answer. Storage is the other part, and I don't see resource consent being granted for any new hydro lakes (water batteries) or coal burners, and NZ has no appetite for nuclear (for good reason IMO). Some would rightly call this a slow speed train wreck
    Last edited by xafalcon; Today at 05:02 PM.

  7. #3947
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jul 2002
    Location
    New Zealand.
    Posts
    4,644

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by xafalcon View Post
    Your cost figure is wrong. The final estimate was $16B

    The project was primarily for short term storage of intermittent generation (solar and wind). Because, as the current situation is aptly demonstrating, when the wind doesn't blow the electricity must be generated by alternative sources. And those alternatives are hydro, geothermal, thermal, combustion (diesel). Solar will be the same, the sun never shines at night, and in winter the weather is poor and even on a sunny winter day the solar irradiance is 1/2 of summer levels due to the angle of the earth. This short term storage (12 hours - 7 days) generates a return through arbitrage

    But Lake Onslow also allowed long term storage to cover dry years, like this one. 4TWh & 1000MW = enough to easily cover the 3 Huntly rankines and 1/4 of the CCGT.

    Cost is relative. $16B is a lot of money. But if the equivalent amount of battery storage was deployed, the cost would be $4T every 10 - 15 years

    The idiots who cancelled the project will be remembered poorly in history. Nothing more than political bloody mindedness - let's cancel everything the other team did. But it is cancelled and Simone Brown is far too conceited to acknowledge he ever makes a mistake, and JK Mk2 is too dumb to realise

    NZ is now stuck with aging coal generation assets, a gas shortage, and no plan on how to manage electricity demand growth of 4% compounding. Intermittent is only part of the answer. Storage is the other part, and I don't see resource consent being granted for any new hydro lakes (water batteries) or coal burners, and NZ has no appetite for nuclear (for good reason IMO). Some would call this a slow speed train wreck
    xaf, show me one project in the last 30 years that has come in on time and on budget, CRL, Marsden Point, Clyde, Sky City, the BNZ building in Wellington, N Z Steel, CH CH rebuild, Waterview Tunnel, Mangere Bridge , Dunedin Hospital, Wellington Museum, the Puhoi to Warkworth motorway to name a few, the Lake Onslow pipe dream will cost $30 Billion minimum, the only way any builder on shore or off shore will build a contract of this nature would be on a cost plus ( charge up ) contract, the very very low productivity of N Z workers is something else.
    Just today the CEO of Wellington Water resigned as she forgot to submit a $51 million costing item to her employer.

    It just goes on and on.
    Last edited by whatsup; Today at 05:12 PM.

  8. #3948
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    950

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by whatsup View Post
    xaf, show me one project in the last 30 years that has come in on time and on budget, CRL, Marsden Point, Clyde, Sky City, the BNZ building in Wellington, N Z Steel, CH CH rebuild, Waterview Tunnel, Mangere Bridge , Dunedin Hospital, Wellington Museum, the Puhoi to Warkworth motorway to name a few, the Lake Onslow pipe dream will cost $30 Billion minimum, the only way any builder on shore or off shore will build a contract of this nature would be on a cost plus ( charge up ) contract, the very very low productivity of N Z workers is something else.
    Just today the CEO of Wellington Water resigned as she forgot to submit a $51 million costing item to her employer.

    It just goes on and on.
    It is a serious issue.

    Only ones I can think of are the listed property developers, Vital Healthcare, Kiwi Property and Goodman, they seem able to complete projects on time and budget.

  9. #3949
    Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2021
    Location
    thames
    Posts
    101

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by whatsup View Post
    xaf, show me one project in the last 30 years that has come in on time and on budget, .
    Probably near the smaller end of projects but SH25A bridge replacement after the original was lost in a slip last year. Estimated 18-month to 2 years. Actual time 6 months. Budget $48M actual cost $43M. You can bet every Minister was lining up for that photo shoot on opening day.......

  10. #3950
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jul 2002
    Location
    New Zealand.
    Posts
    4,644

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by kiwical View Post
    Probably near the smaller end of projects but SH25A bridge replacement after the original was lost in a slip last year. Estimated 18-month to 2 years. Actual time 6 months. Budget $48M actual cost $43M. You can bet every Minister was lining up for that photo shoot on opening day.......
    Agree, and thats because of the no B S clause !!

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •