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Thread: Black Monday

  1. #19631
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bjauck View Post
    I don’t know about Spain but there are lots of differences from Ireland. Ireland had multinationals basing themselves there and fast GDP growth. It had joined the Euro and the European Central Bank had lower interest rates than Ireland would otherwise have had. So low interest rates were leveraged on top of rapidly burgeoning GDP growth and incomes. German Banks had also lent large amounts of money to the Celtic Tiger. Irish property was well-inflated.
    Ireland offered massive tax discounts to attract those multinationals. Not sure why the rest of Europe stood for it.

  2. #19632
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    "The Future Fund likens the current era to the 1930s. Where is the best place to hide?"

    https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wire...THE%20INSIGHTS

    "Buying Index Puts are value destroying"

  3. #19633
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    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    "The Future Fund likens the current era to the 1930s. Where is the best place to hide?"

    https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wire...THE%20INSIGHTS

    "Buying Index Puts are value destroying"
    That's interesting thanks for sharing.
    Yeah buying Puts, the time decay can kill you.
    As the article mentions, equities actually do well during wars it might be better to buy Calls.

    If things go to he'll in a hand basket, typically everything gets sold, as margin calls hit players cash reserves, and the dollar rises.
    In 2008, gold lost around 30% and then went on to triple.

    There are certainly parallels to the 1930s for sure which is scary and it's scary that we have people in NZ that are supporting those extreme right wing nut jobs.

  4. #19634
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    No worries …things going to be good soon ..if not very good.

    Luxon said the other day -

    “I am expecting interest rates to very quickly be lowered as a result and get the economy moving and get employment growing as well,"
    Last edited by winner69; 06-07-2024 at 10:33 AM.
    ”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “

  5. #19635
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    Dropping interest rates is good as well as bad. Good for borrowers and homeowners. Bad thing is it could lead to next bubble as assets prices are historically high. I like safe heavens in stocks and commodities now. Completely out from hot stocks of today. There are so many crises like retirement crisis, debt crisis and geopolitical issues have not resolved completely. Anyway, hitting all time high again and again means we could see all time low next as the cycle repeats.

  6. #19636
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    Quote Originally Posted by Valuegrowth View Post
    Dropping interest rates is good as well as bad. Good for borrowers and homeowners. Bad thing is it could lead to next bubble as assets prices are historically high. I like safe heavens in stocks and commodities now. Completely out from hot stocks of today. There are so many crises like retirement crisis, debt crisis and geopolitical issues have not resolved completely. Anyway, hitting all time high again and again means we could see all time low next as the cycle repeats.
    Don't let a good crisis go to waste

    Listen to the noise,feel the fear
    Last edited by kiora; 06-07-2024 at 11:46 AM.

  7. #19637
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    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    Don't let a good crisis go to waste

    Listen to the noise,feel the fear
    Thank you Kiora. I got the message.

  8. #19638
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  9. #19639
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    Sahm Rule about to be triggered in US
    ”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “

  10. #19640
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Sahm Rule about to be triggered in US
    Is recession ahead? Magnificent 7 is not listening to bad news.

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