I don't see ST as a place to get buy/sell orders, it's just a place to get opinions, information and ideas I may not have come across on my own. The final decision is still independent. Not everyone agrees and that is healthy.
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Share price = underlying value + hype (t).
I find that share trader comments are a good gauge for the hype about a stock at a certain point in time (t).
Hard to say, whether share trader comments make (or lead) the hype or just reflect it ... I suppose it will be a bit of both.
Share price = underlying value + hype (t). (BP)
If underlying value is consensus analysts that number than it is 1.68
So with share price is 154 the hype around OCA is negative
Better fix that quick …..a call to action
We need 168 (underlying) plus hype of 30 cents to get close to 2 bucks
So c’mon all ….a bit of hype …and OCA needs to do its bit as well
I think the next step is for OCA to make, take their favourable pricing and turn it into sales. SUM did it in the current market inspite of any prevalent doom and gloom housing market messages, OCA your turn now. To quote one of my favorite movie lines "the foreplay is over, it's time to f***"
I think it is a bit more complicated to get to the fundamentals ... and I must admit that I didn't yet manage to identify what analyst consensus predictions are supposed to represent, other than a medium value of some random numbers :):
Agree however - increasing (positive) hype always helps to push the SP up. Only thing to consider is that hype is always a function of time, i.e. not that useful for long term investors (unless it is currently negative and you want to buy).
Oops - didn't you just show us that hype for OCA is currently negative? So - what am I talking ... should be buying more instead :);
Discl: hold already a (for my portfolio) materially sized parcel;
Not sure they are subjective, there is just a high level of uncertainty around any attempt to value a security without knowing the future.
Not sure either whether it is a pity its not an exact science. If it would be an exact science, then there would be no point in having markets and there would be nothing for us to banter about ...
Life would be so boring if we would know the future (which would be a requirement for valuations being certain).
Long live the uncertainty ;) !
In past years the ST "top 5", (the 5 most favored shares by the collective intelligence on here) has well and truly outperformed the NZX50 and done very well indeed compared to the average professional analyst's picks in the annual share picking competitions. This year is the exception, unfortunatly.
You can see how "well" the collective wisdom is doing here at post #107 and 108 and the ones who are spanking the market at post #111
https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/showth...ing-Comp/page6
Based on many years of evidence my conclusion is that the collective wisdom on here is far more often worth listening too than not but definitely DYOR.