Morning star is a very reliable tool. You basically see what it says, then do the opposite. This may seem facetious, but I'm actually (kinda) serious.
I was not surprised by the result today, but was a little by the reaction. I guess FPH is driven by success + greater fool. Unfortunately if you want in, you have to be some kind of fool.
Disclaimer: holding and happy to be more of a fool in future. Safe, reliable, long term, investment.