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Trader Update -data point 5 April 2011-
Trading Environment:
-Institutional selling action _'selling limits' expanded_downtrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 +7.25 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'sideways tick'_high expansion
-VIX 17.50_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_15 New Lows
-New Lows: 15_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-New Highs_potential for new uptrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_positive strength
-Leadership stock ratio: +2.45 bullish advantage
Confirming weakness:
-Short term liquidity trend_higher risk for a corrective move (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
positive intraday bias
Conservative_long
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Today's Session:
* bullish: > *1319 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1368
* Close < *1319_consolidating range *1308/*1338
* Close <*1307_high risk for bearish reversal to *1274 minimum
Kind Regards
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Trader Update -data point 6 April 2011-
Trading Environment:
-Institutional selling action _'selling limits' expanded_downtrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 +7.19 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'sideways tick'_high expansion
-VIX 17.25_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_14 New Lows
-New Lows: 14_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-New Highs_potential for new uptrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_positive strength
-Leadership stock ratio: +2.37 bullish advantage
Confirming weakness:
-Short term liquidity trend_higher risk for a corrective move (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
mixed to positive intraday bias with short term liquidity tilting to negative
Conservative_long
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Today's Session:
* bullish: > *1322 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1372
* Close < *1322_consolidating range *1309/*1338
* Close <*1309_high risk for bearish reversal to *1275 minimum
Kind Regards
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Trader Update -data point 7 April 2011-
Trading Environment:
-Institutional selling action _'selling limits' expanded_downtrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 +7.96 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'uptick'_high expansion
-VIX 16.9_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_6 New Lows
-New Lows: 6_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-New Highs_potential for new uptrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_positive strength_< C-RSI +5.00
-Leadership stock ratio: +2.68 bullish advantage
Confirming weakness:
-Short term liquidity trend_higher risk for a corrective move (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
positive_mixed intraday bias with short term liquidity expanded_'sideways' tick
Conservative: hold long position
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Today's Session:
...no follow through selling after Japan quake news - SPX 500 on track to *1344 -
...VIX < 15.23 (target: 9.39) = continuous bullish advance otherwise high risk of bearish reversal at *1344 first attempt
* bullish: > *1322 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1372
* Close < *1322_consolidating range *1309/*1338
* Close <*1309_high risk for bearish reversal to *1275 minimum
Kind Regards
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Trader Update -data point 11 April 2011-
Trading Environment:
-Institutional selling action _'selling limits' expanded_downtrend weakened_high risk for increasing institutional selling (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 +5.95 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'downtick'_ in high expansion territory
-VIX 17.87_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_10 New Lows
-New Lows: 10_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-New Highs_potential for new uptrend (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_positive strength_< C-RSI +5.00
-Leadership stock ratio: +1.34 bullish advantage
Confirming weakness
-Short term liquidity trend_higher risk for a corrective move (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
negative to mixed intraday bias with short term liquidity expanded_downtick
Conservative: hold long position
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Today's Session:
* bullish: > *1324 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1377
* Close < *1324_consolidating range *1312/*1338
* 1312 Close <*1312_high risk for bearish reversal to *1304/ *1280 minimum
Kind Regards
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Trader Update -data point 13 April 2011-
Trading Environment:
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 weak +2.53 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'downtick'_ in high expansion territory
-VIX 17.09_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_21 New Lows
-New Lows: 21_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_weak positive strength_C-RSI below +5.00
-Leadership stock ratio: +0.13 bullish advantage
Confirming weakness
-Institutional selling action _'selling limits' expanded_crossover to nascent uptrend_risk of high volatility (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-Short term liquidity trend_potential rebound_high volatility (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-New Highs_negative 24 (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-VIX > 15.23 support = negative for sustaining bull market
-US Stock Trading v. SPX 500 (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
-negative intraday bias with initial strong Open
-Conservative: higher risk holding long position
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Today's Session:
* bullish: > *1324 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1379
* Close < *1324_consolidating range *1313/*1338
* Close <*1313_high risk for bearish reversal to *1303/*1300/ *1280 minimum
* Strategy: expecting a successful defense -buy *1282 -stop *1267 -target *1375
Kind Regards
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Trader Update -data point 14 April 2011-
Trading Environment:
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 weak +2.51 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'uptick'(!!)_ in high expansion territory
-VIX 16.92_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_13 New Lows
-New Lows: 13_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_weak positive strength_C-RSI 30 < +5.00 strength
Confirming weakness
-Institutional selling action_nascent uptrend_risk of high volatility ((chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-Short term liquidity trend_high volatility risk ((chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-Leadership stock ratio: -1.86 bearish advantage
-New Highs_negative 41 (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-VIX > 15.23 support = negative for sustaining bull market
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
-negative to mixed intraday bias
-Conservative: higher risk holding long position_C-RSI 30 < +5 strength
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Today's Session:
* bullish: > *1324 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1379/*1410
* Close < *1324_consolidating range *1313/*1338
* Close <*1313_high risk for bearish reversal to *1303/*1300/ *1280 minimum
* Strategy: expecting a successful defense -buy *1282 -stop *1267 -target *1378
...index needs to clear April 13 High *1321 for today's bounce to grip; otherwise expect more downside into 'target buy' level
Kind Regards
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SPX 500 weekly Close *1320 -risks and uncertainties over a weekend considered- a bullish call. If trading remains in this level for the start of the week, *1344 will go out the door -Hello SPX 500 *1400 here we come-
Kind Regards
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Trader Update - data point 18 April 2011 -
Trading Environment:
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 weak +3.82 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'uptick'_ in high expansion territory
-VIX 15.32_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_13 New Lows
-New Lows: 13_below danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_C-RSI 30 < +5.00 strength_positive NYA-Momentum
Confirming weakness
-Institutional selling action_stalling uptrend_risk of high volatility (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-Short term liquidity trend_'uptick'_in contraction territory_high volatility (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-Leadership stock ratio: +43 neutral/bullish advantage
-New Highs Trending Indicator: 81 < 180 minimum target
-VIX > 15.23 support = negative for sustaining bull market
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
-mixed intraday bias
-Conservative: higher risk holding long position_C-RSI 30 < +5 strength
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Today's Session:
* bullish: > *1323 on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to *1379/*1410
* Close < *1323_consolidating range *1315/*1338
* Close <*1315_high risk for bearish reversal to *1303/*1300/ *1284 minimum
* Strategy: -buy *1320 -stop *1300 -target *1378 (+)
...chances are, the index will test *1284; a successful defense in that level will set the index back on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to reach out to *1379/*1410
Kind Regards
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Trader Update - data point 19 April 2011 -
Trading Environment:
-SPX 500 'buy' trigger March 25_C-RSI 30 weak +0.15 strength
-Long Term Trending Fed- and Foreign net- Liquidity Inflows _ 'downtick'_ into mid expansion territory
!!!-Short term liquidity trend_positive divergence_potential for trend reversal!!! (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-VIX 16.95_below 20 stress level_long-term resistance 32.70_D/Vol inside range_26 New Lows
-New Lows: 26_danger 26-zone_below panic zone 50 (+)
-NYSE_(= hft-zone)_C-RSI 30 +0.127 strength_positive NYA-Momentum
Confirming weakness
-Institutional selling action_'uptrend' resumes (chart: http://www.spx500dailyindextracker.blogspot.com)
-Leadership stock ratio: +0.04 neutral/bullish advantage
-New Highs Trending Indicator: 50_below 180 minimum target
-VIX > 15.23 support = negative for sustaining bull market
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Stocktiming.com recommend:
-mixed to negative intraday bias_'market must hold' elevated risk level
-Conservative: high risk holding long position_C-RSI 30 < +5 strength
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Today's Session:
* Close <*1315_high risk for bearish reversal to *1303/*1300/ *1284 minimum
* Strategy: -buy *1285 -stop *1266 -target *1378 (+)
...chances are, the index will test *1284; a successful defense in that level will set the index back on track to take out February Peak *1344_view to reach out to *1379/*1410
Kind regards