I would be interested in hearing opinions on this too.
I think a special divy would be highly likely given some of the commentary from AIR on this.
As for for The final it won't be as much as anticipated a few months ago I don't think. The settlement on the cargo thing is one impact and they seem to me to be keen on keeping the bank balance healthy going forward in anticipation of mitigating increased economic headwinds. At least they will be fully imputated