And the real winner on election night was craic. I trust you'll invest the win unwisely in a very nice bottle of whisky or something...
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And the real winner on election night was craic. I trust you'll invest the win unwisely in a very nice bottle of whisky or something...
ELZ..A follow-up as promised....Results added to my quoted post above.
The polling has been reasonably accurate this year..
Re I-Predict
Nothing here with I-Predict to support you right wing manipulation claims ELZ ...If anything the results have shown an overall slight left wing bias predictions...Those Seats that show anomallies are Chch Central and Te Tai Tokerau by the left and Port Hills by the right.
And Napier!! Yes Craig that was off most peoples radar
[QUOTE Had McVicar not been here, Labour would have one less seat and National one more.][/QUOTE]
Really?
Assuming that it didn't affect the party vote - and that's borne out by Labour's poor party vote in the electorate - then Labour's total seats would not have been affected. Just one less electorate seat and one more party seat.
Whaleoil reckons that Labour guy would have won even if Conservative guy didn't get many votes
http://www.whaleoil.co.nz/2014/09/st...s/#more-156032
I know the candidates and I have spoken to a lot of people here. Nash was in line to beat Walford, all things being equal, but they were not. Boundary changes favoured Walford. As a supporter of McVicar, whom I know personally, just about every person I know who voted McVicar were National supporters. The local party vote was 2 to 1 in favour of National as far as I'm aware. But it doesn't matter now.
Conservatives are pretty well set up for next time. National could give McVicars the seats - they l ost it anyway so they are not givng up anything anyway. National could also give Rankin Epsom instead of Act.
plus if Winston retires, Conservatives will take a good portion of their vote.
Great result for centre right. National now have a mandate to do ... um ... mmm ... what were their policies again???? Status quo it is then.
Time for the trickle down to start happening.
Wot? No comments from EZ? After years of pounding our eardrums with how inevitable it was that Labour would win and he's now conspicuous by his absence. Away licking his wounds in the underbrush and sulking like a cat that has just lost a catfight it was sure it was going to win.
And before you start another long boring 3 year campaign of the same EZ, consider the possibility that John Key and National might win by even more next time...
No Kim Dotcom and Internet Mana and presumably not even Nicky Hager will try that crap on again.