I would :)
Printable View
us futures look ugly at the moment tanked after china retailiated with more tarriffs
Violent pull backs and volatility are back not only for stocks but also for commodities. Probably, it could stay for a while. Hopefully, we will stay with winners to ride out these types of volatility, sell-off in markets. There could be sell-off for tech related stocks and agri commodities. In the short run, commodity trading also could slow down. Globally some companies will benefit and some will have a hit due to new development in the global trade. Overall, there will be winners as well as losers.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...beijing-covets
China Hits Soybeans, Aircraft in Counter-Punch to Trump Tariffs
yes getting more serious
One of the backdrops to the Black Monday 1987 collapse in U.S. stocks was mounting tensions between the U.S. and Germany over what America saw as insufficient steps to boost German demand, to narrow the U.S. trade gap.
from bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-...e-with-the-u-s
the blog shows an uncanny similarity of the hang seng today with the dow in 1987
It all got too much for me so I converted 75% of our holdings to cash on the 23 Feb. I believe we are in the distribution phase but who knows.
I’m hoping to see that my safety measures were unfounded, Just didn’t like the possibility of giving up the 2017 earnings.
I probably am still just expecting a minor / medium pull back but definitely the end of the run.
Happy to be schooled differently.
There is a see saw profit taking pattern in the commodity market and stock market.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...he-trade-fight
$1.2 Trillion Asset Manager Isn't Worried About U.S.-China Trade Fight
another 100 billion in tarriffs , futures tanking
As I said the market seems to have overreacted a little bit with respect to trade war.
Some money managers think that emerging and frontier markets will benefit from trader war. However, frontier markets such as Angola, Ecuador, Ghana, Mozambique and Zambia, which rely on commodities as a primary source of foreign-exchange generation, could be hurt.
I also think that there will be new opportunities for Asia Ex-China. Even some local companies in China and the USA also could benefit. When import become expensive there will be demand for locally made products in China and the USA. In addition, various industries also could benefit when commodity prices stay low (under pressure).
Will there be more demand for New Zealand fruit, meat and milk?
http://www.gulf-times.com/story/5872...t-as-US-and-Ch
Aviva storms into risky frontier debt as US and China trade jitters ease