My own valuation of $1.25 is made up looking at eps of 10cents,nett dividend of 7 cents.PE 12.5.dividend yield 5.6% net.That is based on 463,266,592 shares on issue.
I expect Heartland to improve their credit rating,and to be rerated by broking houses,who will see they are "putting runs on the board" and achieving what they say they will do,so I see further eps growth.They stated eps for the last quarter were 9.7 and with their stated policy for eps growth, 10cps may be realistic.
Banks have the capacity to pay increasing dividends,so HNZ's fully imputed dividend will be an attraction to investors.
HNZ does not have the over exposure to housing the Australian banks have.They also have no exposure to European wholesale funding issues.
Overseas people look at PEG ratio.This is the PE divided by growth.No allowance is made for dividend,In NZ some companies pay very high dividends,so we should factor them in.PEGD.
So my thinking on HNZ.PE 12.5 growth 10% and 7cents dividend.
therefore 12.5 divided by 17 [growth 10 plus dividend 7] gives us .73 This is well under one,so l think my $1.25 is fair value.
These figures have made no allowance for any further acquisitions by Heartland.