yes I agree the higher risk section of the Gold/silver sectors have been hammered unfairly and should rebound strongly during this year my two investment CVR , PXG are two to have been well oversold , going be some big money made by the smart ST's
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really,,, don't think so tim...the gold price is the gold price you can jump up n down all you want and call it overpriced but as you should have learnt long ago Gold is in a strong Bull trend just like debts worldwide...
CVR start up year production numbers matched to current Gold silver prices give a first year cashflow of some 64mill USD the current market value is 18.8mill AUD valued down on the wait to start production any day now .....to say this is fair value is nuts
Soundest investment's for the coming volatility
http://www.silverbearcafe.com/privat...olatility.html
You can pat a pile of gold but it won't respond..a bit like the throwaway "has anyone ever seen the economy?"
Skol, that article produced this response from someone: apparently there's a very strong recent (negative?) correlation between the gold price and the long-term interest rates of other investments.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/06/treasuries-tips-and-gold-wonkish/
Gold goes up because other simple investments show they'll have poor returns in the future.
Sounds reasonable, nice and simple. US 20 year Interest rate graph, look at it beside the US gold price for the same period. While gold had an increasing trend throughout, it was certainly pulled back when interest rates rose, and accelerated when they dropped. A bit of a shame that interest rates might be bottoming out then..
EZ,
Well anyone with a minimal background in mathematics will take a look at the gold chart and see it's exponential, an element of danger there right now most goldbugs seem to be overlooking.
I disagree with the article in one respect, it says gold is 'scarce'
Hardly, in 2010, 2500 tonnes were mined and last year over 2800 tonnes were mined. The gold price increased most of last year and so far all of this year, to keep it rising and perpetuating the 'greater fool' theory, more suckers are required as well as soaking up the $160 billion worth being mined each year.
A mate of mine reckons 1000 tonnes of it has been mined at Martha Hill and there's more than that under Coromandel township, plus the ranges are loaded with it + Great Barrier Island.
Scarce, I doubt it.
I think scarce might mean scarce as a proportion of the Earth's crust. Miners will always work over old known ground if the price is right.
I had a thought, that as gold is also tied to the oil price, and that's going up at the moment, so will gold, even if 20 year interest rates bottom out or rise a small amount. Back up the truck..