Thanks for your research arc. Assuming this year is crash year, how does your research compare for other years. Eg non crash year. Traditionally Aug to Oct is crash season anyway isn't it, so would expect a few patterns over this time.
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Thanks for your research arc. Assuming this year is crash year, how does your research compare for other years. Eg non crash year. Traditionally Aug to Oct is crash season anyway isn't it, so would expect a few patterns over this time.
ARC, what am I missing? All I am seeing is a bunch of stock codes with various dates. Dates I assumed when these shares were hammered.
What pattern other than down are you alluding to? You use the word deliberate. Isn't any trade or combined movement in stocks deliberate? Up or down?
Cheers Daytr
I noticed that the professor didn't seem to give any weight to the "gambling instinct" of many Chinese who have only recently been allowed - encouraged? - in to the stock market. A bit unfair to blame the "money men" entirely for this debacle without acknowledging that factor, IMO.
hahaha it does sound off the edge , no I dont think for a second that its a conspiracy or "evil people"
Tax time is different for different parts of the world so it cant be related to that. The closest other event was the Chinese devalue but that was announced on the 12th?.
I have no theory. I found a pattern that I personally do not understand... end of story
I dont understand crashes, why do they happen, what are the triggers, what are the significant things that contribute to it. Its like the whole world woke up on the 7th and said its Hammer-Time.
You financial wizards out there, tell me what would make almost every top100, top500 across multiple stock exchanges undergo a selldown on the same day, or at least within a 3 day period.
Also in your estimation would the ongoing effects of this initial selldown be the cause of black monday, or is it just a coincidence
I have no doubts that there is a fair amount of manipulation out there--but as an article--Is that it? (i was looking for page 2)
There are lots of things that can trigger a sell off when things are in a bubble.
Quite often its property ,but the bubble creation in the first place is probably more relevant--Its certainly no secret that many think the stock market has become overvalued in the US (and China is a no brainer)--I think the scarey part for many was the Chinese governments inability to control the events (at least until now but for how long?) The US has more polished controls to kick the can down the road ,but their options are becoming more and more limited as time goes on.
Something has to give at some stage(this may or may not be it)--but this is not a normal time to be into the sharemarket bigtime IMO----Saw a quote the other day--went something like--''at this phase of the market,the ''buy and hold''strategy is out the window''..
Whether its orchestrated or not is up for debate--but either way red is red.
There's no compulsion on anyone, particularly on the big holders and investors, to panic and sell even when would be "gurus" on Sharetrader say they should be.
Instead they quietly pick off the bargains to be had, nor do they need to explain that to anyone.
Life continues.