My ideal holding timeframe is forever as I do not expect to ever liquidise the best investments which will be left to children and grandchildren (who will likely spend it all frivolously)
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People are programmed to draw conclusions without sufficient data - this is a form of confirmation bias. If you buy a share in a down turn and you lose your shirt you "learn" not to buy in a down turn because somewhere in the back of your mind you "knew" you shouldn't do that. If you buy a share in an up turn and you lose your shirt you don't "learn" anything because you didn't already know not to do that.
Investing may be a science but a very complex science. There are often too many moving parts to fully understand to come to a reliable conclusion. Investing as an art seems to have some merit as people do rely on gut instinct a lot.
All the variables and all the events that come out of left field seem to make investing more of a casino with some shares particularly the high growth ones.