Originally Posted by
justakiwi
I was thinking about this last night. My thoughts are:
1.Oceania has said they can re-house 30 of those 50 residents, elsewhere
2.That leaves 20 beds to find somewhere - we do not know how many of those beds are standard rest home level, hospital level, or dementia level beds
3.Beds only become available when someone dies, moves to a higher level of care, moves to a different location OR, when brand new beds come on line (anywhere - with any provider servicing the area)
4. The word will have already gone out, to all local providers, seeking assistance to re-locate the remaining 20 residents - some will have respite beds available, which could possibly be used, at least temporarily
I was initially concerned about the two month time-line, but the more I think about it, the more I realise it makes bugger all difference. If there are beds available, residents can go now/soon. If there are no beds available right now, hopefully there will be at least some in a week or two, or a month. I have no idea how many providers or beds are available in this location, but I imagine there are many more than where I live, so the overall "pool" of beds is going to be much greater than it would be down here. I think they have a good shot at finding beds for all 20 residents, within the two months time-frame. Dementia beds could be an issue however, if they are D3 (secure unit) beds.
My thinking would be, families and OCA will work together to find solutions, starting right now. Residents will move into beds as they become available - and I imagine the 30 residents OCA can accommodate elsewhere right now, will move very quickly. Having said that, you have to also consider the logistics of reducing the numbers in dribs and drabs - staffing becomes an issue if that drags on too long (caregivers, cleaners, cooks, housekeepers etc).
Time will tell and hopefully we will hear more soon, but my gut feeling is there is zero point hanging out beyond the two months. It would make zero difference to the availability of existing beds in the area - it is always impossible to accurately predict when beds might be free.
It is more complicated than it sounds - kind of.