Originally Posted by
value_investor
The range was initially at $340-400m, and down $25m but in excess of $340m. So anywhere between $340m to $375m. The movement in fuel prices is always going to be there and for that reason its a cyclical stock more than anything.
I bought at the lowest point of the market so I'm okay with holding at close to $2 average. I would only buy more if it went down that low again which I only suspect would happen in two circumstances. First being oil prices heading back up to $100 USD a barrel or global conditions worsening considerably to the point it affects disposable income on a mass level.
A lot can happen between now and 2022 and both events are on the cards, not sure at what state either will be at in 2022, if oil goes up I think the budget players and poor brand operators get weeded out quickly with the brand champions sticking around. A quick response to slowing demand and oil prices rising will give you an indication of what type of company this is.