I'll never be able to unsee that picture.
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Just for craic
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIckHmwZAeI
Another 'bogus poll' out
Colmar Brunton - Nats 50% Labour 28% Greens 11%
Next election a non-event sadly
W69, I've had a look through the latest poll, and watched John Key on TV taking the 50% party vote and writing down the effect of his lowered 'preferred PM' data. This poll straddled a big earthquake that many of us felt, so you'd expect some support for the current govt. Again, Colmar Brunton referred to new methods of communication that many use (i.e. cellphones) but then only polled people who had a landline.
Given all this, it's surprising the disengagement of the 1,000 eligible voters they eventually talked to. The party vote figures were for only about 800 of the 1,000 - the rest were unlikely to vote. But it looks like all 1,000 gave their opinion of sorts on the preferred PM. 34% of them suggested no-one, another 3% suggested someone not on the list at all, presumably the first person that popped into their head. Looking at John Key's preferred PM rating on a time scale, it peaked long ago and has a distinct downward trend, although it's levelling out.
The Labour-Green group have to mobilise this large tranche of non-voters, people who are hard to contact, but whom presumably watch TV. Imagine the money that will require. That's why being in power is a strong position, and National are taking plenty of Labour-looking initiatives like equal pay changes (around the fringes), to try and keep everyone on board.
But I think offering out small tax cuts at this stage, after they've plundered the Crown's book situation, and will need to do so again, is absurd.
FP, if that's what you got out of what I wrote, I think you missed a few points. Here's the poll data so you can double-check.
http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-co...2-13-21-23.pdf