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  1. #1
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Overnight a Mild PCE Deflator was good news for the Fed …… and core durable goods orders posts a big positive surprise and could be bottoming.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Overnight a Mild PCE Deflator was good news for the Fed ……
    Agree, Core PCE gone below the 2% psychological threshold (1.9% annualized over 6 months). Calls for FFR cuts got louder. They want cuts beginning from May 24, no later now.
    USD and DXY weakness to persist in 2024
    https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TVC-DXY/
    Last edited by beacon; 23-12-2023 at 12:20 PM. Reason: Added detail

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    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Hey beacon …it’s .634 at mo

    When is it going to stop going up ?
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Hey beacon …it’s .634 at mo

    When is it going to stop going up ?
    Lol! Hope you bought some Winner69.
    Have a happy New Year

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    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    U.S. Dollar Index DXY forms its first Death Cross in the last 12 months
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Corn price collapsing while cocoa prices are 50 year high

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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    U.S. Dollar Index DXY forms its first Death Cross in the last 12 months
    Death Cross Formation:

    • When the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average, it creates the Death Cross pattern on a price chart.
    • This pattern is often seen as a bearish signal, indicating that the stock’s price momentum has weakened.



    Historical Significance:


    Some investors believe the Death Cross predicts severe bear markets, citing examples from history such as 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008.
    But focusing only on bear-market years ignores numerous instances when the Death Cross signaled minor corrections rather than major downturns.


    Returns After a Death Cross:


    Contrary to its ominous name, the Death Cross has been followed by above-average short-term returns in recent years.
    For instance, the S&P 500 index was higher a year after the Death Cross about two-thirds of the time, with an average gain of 6.3% during that period.
    Over shorter time frames, the Nasdaq Composite index showed even more appealing returns after a Death Cross: approximately 2.6% in one month, 7.2% in three months, and 12.4% in six months.
    https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/deathcross.asp

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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Hey beacon …it’s .634 at mo

    When is it going to stop going up ?
    Looks like you got your wish in the New Year, Winner69. Slipped through 62c a few times now, before quickly bouncing back up. Some think NZD'll linger down there awhile, before resuming its uptrend. Let's see...

    NZ dollar looks set for deeper short-term correction
    https://businessdesk.co.nz/article/e...paign=nzh-home

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